Приостановить эксперименты с Гигантским ИИ: открытое письмо
Привожу письмо в оригинале.
Замечу только, что OpenAI не подписала это письмо.
Есть о чем подумать пацану с города Горького Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) и перечитать сказание о Големе.
We call on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4.
AI systems with human-competitive intelligence can pose profound risks to society and humanity, as shown by extensive research[1] and acknowledged by top AI labs.[2] As stated in the widely-endorsed Asilomar AI Principles, Advanced
AI could represent a profound change in the history of life on Earth,
and should be planned for and managed with commensurate care and
resources. Unfortunately, this level of planning and management is
not happening, even though recent months have seen AI labs locked in an
out-of-control race to develop and deploy ever more powerful digital
minds that no one – not even their creators – can understand, predict,
or reliably control.
AI could represent a profound change in the history of life on Earth,
and should be planned for and managed with commensurate care and
resources. Unfortunately, this level of planning and management is
not happening, even though recent months have seen AI labs locked in an
out-of-control race to develop and deploy ever more powerful digital
minds that no one – not even their creators – can understand, predict,
or reliably control.
Contemporary AI systems are now becoming human-competitive at general tasks,[3] and we must ask ourselves: Should we let machines flood our information channels with propaganda and untruth? Should we automate away all the jobs, including the fulfilling ones? Should we develop nonhuman minds that might eventually outnumber, outsmart, obsolete and replace us? Should we risk loss of control of our civilization? Such decisions must not be delegated to unelected tech leaders. Powerful
AI systems should be developed only once we are confident that their
effects will be positive and their risks will be manageable. This confidence must be well justified and increase with the magnitude of a system's potential effects. OpenAI's recent statement regarding artificial general intelligence, states that "At
some point, it may be important to get independent review before
starting to train future systems, and for the most advanced efforts to
agree to limit the rate of growth of compute used for creating new
models." We agree. That point is now.
AI systems should be developed only once we are confident that their
effects will be positive and their risks will be manageable. This confidence must be well justified and increase with the magnitude of a system's potential effects. OpenAI's recent statement regarding artificial general intelligence, states that "At
some point, it may be important to get independent review before
starting to train future systems, and for the most advanced efforts to
agree to limit the rate of growth of compute used for creating new
models." We agree. That point is now.
Therefore, we call on all AI labs to immediately pause for at least 6 months the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4.
This pause should be public and verifiable, and include all key actors.
If such a pause cannot be enacted quickly, governments should step in
and institute a moratorium.
This pause should be public and verifiable, and include all key actors.
If such a pause cannot be enacted quickly, governments should step in
and institute a moratorium.
AI labs and independent experts should use this pause to jointly
develop and implement a set of shared safety protocols for advanced AI
design and development that are rigorously audited and overseen by
independent outside experts. These protocols should ensure that systems
adhering to them are safe beyond a reasonable doubt.[4] This does not
mean a pause on AI development in general, merely a stepping back from
the dangerous race to ever-larger unpredictable black-box models with
emergent capabilities.
develop and implement a set of shared safety protocols for advanced AI
design and development that are rigorously audited and overseen by
independent outside experts. These protocols should ensure that systems
adhering to them are safe beyond a reasonable doubt.[4] This does not
mean a pause on AI development in general, merely a stepping back from
the dangerous race to ever-larger unpredictable black-box models with
emergent capabilities.
AI research and development should be refocused on making today's
powerful, state-of-the-art systems more accurate, safe, interpretable,
transparent, robust, aligned, trustworthy, and loyal.
powerful, state-of-the-art systems more accurate, safe, interpretable,
transparent, robust, aligned, trustworthy, and loyal.
In parallel, AI developers must work with policymakers to
dramatically accelerate development of robust AI governance systems.
These should at a minimum include: new and capable regulatory
authorities dedicated to AI; oversight and tracking of highly capable AI
systems and large pools of computational capability; provenance and
watermarking systems to help distinguish real from synthetic and to
track model leaks; a robust auditing and certification ecosystem;
liability for AI-caused harm; robust public funding for technical AI
safety research; and well-resourced institutions for coping with the
dramatic economic and political disruptions (especially to democracy)
that AI will cause.
dramatically accelerate development of robust AI governance systems.
These should at a minimum include: new and capable regulatory
authorities dedicated to AI; oversight and tracking of highly capable AI
systems and large pools of computational capability; provenance and
watermarking systems to help distinguish real from synthetic and to
track model leaks; a robust auditing and certification ecosystem;
liability for AI-caused harm; robust public funding for technical AI
safety research; and well-resourced institutions for coping with the
dramatic economic and political disruptions (especially to democracy)
that AI will cause.
Humanity can enjoy a flourishing future with AI. Having succeeded in
creating powerful AI systems, we can now enjoy an "AI summer" in which
we reap the rewards, engineer these systems for the clear benefit of
all, and give society a chance to adapt. Society has hit pause on other
technologies with potentially catastrophic effects on society.[5] We can do so here. Let's enjoy a long AI summer, not rush unprepared into a fall.
creating powerful AI systems, we can now enjoy an "AI summer" in which
we reap the rewards, engineer these systems for the clear benefit of
all, and give society a chance to adapt. Society has hit pause on other
technologies with potentially catastrophic effects on society.[5] We can do so here. Let's enjoy a long AI summer, not rush unprepared into a fall.
[1]
Bender, E. M., Gebru, T., McMillan-Major, A., & Shmitchell, S.
(2021, March). On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots: Can Language Models
Be Too Big?🦜. In Proceedings of the 2021 ACM conference on fairness,
accountability, and transparency (pp. 610-623).
(2021, March). On the Dangers of Stochastic Parrots: Can Language Models
Be Too Big?🦜. In Proceedings of the 2021 ACM conference on fairness,
accountability, and transparency (pp. 610-623).
Bostrom, N. (2016). Superintelligence. Oxford University Press.
Bucknall, B. S., & Dori-Hacohen, S. (2022, July). Current and near-term AI as a potential existential risk factor. In Proceedings of the 2022 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society (pp. 119-129).
Carlsmith, J. (2022). Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk?. arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.13353.
Christian, B. (2020). The Alignment Problem: Machine Learning and human values. Norton & Company.
Cohen, M. et al. (2022). Advanced Artificial Agents Intervene in the Provision of Reward. AI Magazine, 43(3) (pp. 282-293).
Eloundou, T., et al. (2023). GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models.
Hendrycks, D., & Mazeika, M. (2022). X-risk Analysis for AI Research. arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.05862.
Ngo, R. (2022). The alignment problem from a deep learning perspective. arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.00626.
Russell, S. (2019). Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control. Viking.
Tegmark, M. (2017). Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence. Knopf.
Weidinger, L. et al (2021). Ethical and social risks of harm from language models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2112.04359.
[2]
Ordonez, V. et al. (2023, March 16). OpenAI CEO Sam Altman says AI will reshape society, acknowledges risks: 'A little bit scared of this'. ABC News.
Perrigo, B. (2023, January 12). DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis Urges Caution on AI. Time.
[3]
Bubeck, S. et al. (2023). Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4. arXiv:2303.12712.
OpenAI (2023). GPT-4 Technical Report. arXiv:2303.08774.
[4]
Ample legal precedent exists – for example, the widely adopted OECD AI Principles require that AI systems "function appropriately and do not pose unreasonable safety risk".
[5]
Examples include human cloning, human germline modification, gain-of-function research, and eugenics.
Yoshua Bengio, University of Montréal, Turing Laureate for developing deep learning, head of the Montreal Institute for Learning Algorithms
Stuart Russell,
Berkeley, Professor of Computer Science, director of the Center for
Intelligent Systems, and co-author of the standard textbook “Artificial
Intelligence: a Modern Approach"
Berkeley, Professor of Computer Science, director of the Center for
Intelligent Systems, and co-author of the standard textbook “Artificial
Intelligence: a Modern Approach"
Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, Tesla & Twitter
Steve Wozniak, Co-founder, Apple
Yuval Noah Harari, Author and Professor, Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Andrew Yang,
Forward Party, Co-Chair, Presidential Candidate 2020, NYT
Forward Party, Co-Chair, Presidential Candidate 2020, NYT
Bestselling
Author, Presidential Ambassador of Global Entrepreneurship
Author, Presidential Ambassador of Global Entrepreneurship
Connor Leahy, CEO, Conjecture
Jaan Tallinn, Co-Founder of Skype, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, Future of Life Institute
Evan Sharp, Co-Founder, Pinterest
Chris Larsen, Co-Founder, Ripple
Emad Mostaque, CEO, Stability AI
Valerie Pisano, President & CEO, MILA
John J Hopfield, Princeton University, Professor Emeritus, inventor of associative neural networks
Rachel Bronson, President, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Max Tegmark,
MIT Center for Artificial Intelligence & Fundamental Interactions,
Professor of Physics, president of Future of Life Institute
MIT Center for Artificial Intelligence & Fundamental Interactions,
Professor of Physics, president of Future of Life Institute
Anthony Aguirre, University of California, Santa Cruz, Executive Director of Future of Life Institute, Professor of Physics
Victoria Krakovna, DeepMind, Research Scientist, co-founder of Future of Life Institute
Emilia Javorsky, Physician-Scientist & Director, Future of Life Institute
Sean O'Heigeartaigh, Executive Director, Cambridge Centre for the Study of Existential Risk