An Italian case of war mongering
With Mario Draghi in power and plans to succeed Stoltenberg as the next Secretary General of NATO when he steps down this year in the autumn, Italy joined the EU's efforts to flood Ukraine with weapons in the first ranks. Draghi has been rushing so much that the Italian government began sending the arms even before this very step was even discussed and approved by the parliament. To drag Italy into the very mess of the ongoing crisis and to present himself and Italy as one of the motors of NATO unity and militarism was the most appropriate thing to do for Mario Draghi to meet his goals. After the governmental crisis, the new government, surprising (not so much, to be honest), continued on the same track, being unable to do anything but continue the track shaped by Mario Draghi, which plunged the country into the epicentre of the cataclysm.
But economically, the country is not ready for such a role, having been acutely damaged by the COVID crisis, and according to the data, it is short on military resources.
Though Italy has never been in the focus of my research interests, I
came across a quite interesting Italian report published by the Italian Defense Research and Analysis Institute. Despite having a very boring title, it has quite fascinating revelations. According to the document, the military budget was critically small and insufficient before the conflict, and it became critically insufficient taking into account the current developments and Italian approaches. Since 2008, the Italian budget in relation to GDP has grown just on 0,02% from 1,35 to 1,38, (from 21.132,4 M€ in 2008 to 25.956,1 M€), despite the obvious rise of geopolitical threats that were expanding throughout the past years.
The country that has been positioning itself as a NATO motor, encouraging the countries to support Ukraine by all means, has little chance of enlarging its budget, but at the same time has had to cut certain expenditures and shorten its military personnel to balance the distribution of resources in the military sector and at the same time to cover the debts. The inner imbalance of the defense structure, caused by imbalanced resource distribution multiplied by resource insufficiency, influences the functionality of the Italian defense sector and harms Italy's capacity to fulfill its commitments to NATO.