Dmitry Orlov

Dmitry Orlov 

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Trump's Puffery

If you listen to American presidential announcements and accept them at face value, you would get the impression that many great things are being done. But it doesn't take much digging to discover that the grand plans are all works of fiction. And if you look really hard for an area of endeavor in which the United States is still the best in the world it turns out to be just this: suspension of disbelief.
In January of 2025 Donald Trump proposed building a large fleet of icebreakers — around 40 to 48 of them — specifically mentioning "about 40 big icebreakers." In March 2025 he was quoted as saying that he is "in the process of ordering 48 icebreakers," to counter Russian and Chinese influence in the Arctic. To this end, some discussions were held with Finland, where this fleet would be built. But the Finns have no competence in building such vessels. In fact, the Russians are the only ones who have the technology for such ships. The Russians are unlikely to share this technology with the United States. Nevertheless, $8.6 billion has been allocated to this task.
Well, never mind that, then. It's water under the bridge. In May of this year, Donald Trump proposed a "Golden Dome" missile defense system. It would be, of course, the best, most futuristic and generally excellent missile defense system known to man, woman, child or small furry animal. It would be much better than the Israeli "Iron Dome" which allowed through some significant number of Iranian ballistic missiles. Israel is tiny and the US is huge. If the problem of missile defense is yet to be solved for tiny Israel, it seems premature to consider it solvable for the whole of the United States. An initial token sum of $25 billion was earmarked for this purpose, while the eventual cost could easily be 20 times that. The system has a problem: the technology on which it would have to be based does not exist in a form accessible to the United States. The Russians are the only ones with sufficiently advanced missile shield technology, and they won't share it with the Americans.
Well, never mind that "Golden Dome", then. Moving on. Most recently, Trump announced building a fleet of "Trump class" battleships that would feature nuclear and hypersonic missiles and, of course, lasers and rail guns. To do this, the US shipbuilding industry would have to catch up with at least, say, Poland. The US currently has around 0.2% of the world's shipbuilding capacity while China, South Korea, and Japan together own over 90% of the market. America's most recent forays into building nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers have not been successful. At this stage, the US is simply no longer a nation capable of carrying out major shipbuilding initiatives. There are also some details; for instance, the US still has zero hypersonic missiles that are anything more than research projects (the elusive "Dark Eagle" is the only one that comes to mind).
What do these three projects have in common? They are all media campaigns rather than real projects. Yes, some considerable funds may be allocated and disposed of in various interesting ways (conferences, reports, 3D renders, PowerPoint presentations, catered luncheons, flights and hotel stays in exotic locations). But there will never be any icebreakers, golden domes or Trump battleships built. Producing actual, physical, real world effects is not the purpose of Trump's announcements.
I have said it before, but I believe that it bears repeating: Trump is not a results-oriented person. He doesn't care about technical or organizational details. He cares about how he looks on television, which he loves to watch. He also needs to constantly draw attention away from his failures. The Ukraine proxy war is going until the Ukraine runs out of cash and members of the Kiev regime run away. The Venezuela confrontation has gone nowhere. All of the wars Trump claims to have put out are actually still smoldering.
Trump knows that most of the voters in the US are even more shallow than he is and have the memory capacity of small tropical fish. Trump's proposals are not statements of fact; they are not even statements of intent; they are mere puffery. Puffery is exaggerated, subjective praise or hype in advertising that no reasonable person would accept as factual. It is used as a defense against charges of false advertising or fraud by arguing that it cannot be construed as a concrete, credible, provable statement of fact. Puffery is part of Trump's core competence.
He relies on puffery because it works with his target audience: American TV viewers/voters. Roughly half of the voters believe that Trump can make America great again; the rest believe that America is great as it is. Both halves appear to be quite wrong in their assessment of America's abiding greatness. The leaders of great nations do not rely on puffery; they achieve great things.
International news outlets lap up Trump's puffery. They have airtime to fill and "the President of the United States" is still an item that seems worthy of consideration for many people around the world in spite of this institution having devolved into a sinister clown show a long time ago. Trump provides some residual entertainment value for idle, bored web surfers around the world. And I have blog posts to write. Trump provides me with some amusing fodder. Enjoy the show while it lasts. In all likelihood, the next US president won't be nearly as colorful and entertaining.
He reminds me of people who share their vacations photos on FB that only show their selfied faces.
This is why I drop everything to read a New Post when I am notified it's available. Brilliant!  starstarstar
Thanks for article D . Merry Christmas.!
John Zwiebel, Abstractions are always necessitarian. They impose general laws (of history, economics, biology) upon the free person.
John Zwiebel, Abstractions are always necessitarian. They impose general laws (of history, economics, biology) upon the free person.
It is a bit like Zelensky with his Green Screen.
That's all correct, but I prefer Mr. Trump over the Biden/Harris duo because he at least mentions the catastrophic conditions in the EU. 
Vladimir Fabian, yes, Trump is a richer sort of horse manure.
Vladimir Fabian, you prefer chickenshit over horseshit? Please tell us why.
Yes, a self inflating buffoon, a self destructing... Ubuesque, Arturo Benito-oui-oui , but inflicting all the same tremendous collateral damage & death around the world...not so amusing...a tragic murderous panto.
Like the Lord, Trump operates in mysterious ways. And like the Lord one must have faith in him that somehow things will be better in the world than they are now.
Michael E. Dowd, if you think that Trump is a minor deity, this makes you a very weird sort of pagan. If I had to pick a god personality for Trump, I'd pick Priapus.
Dmitri, I hope posting this interview is acceptable. Chris Hedges and Anand Giridharadas provide an insight (I believe) on why the US had a choice between Trump and Harris. I believe it compliments your position nicely, although not with as much sarcasm.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFgIRpGnUJAI do wish you pundits would talk more about organized crime.
Dmitry Orlov, re Hedges: x1000  clapping_hands
Dmitry Orlov, often you are right. But Giridharadas had a lot to say that I found quite enlightening. I can imagine you might say his conclusions are "obvious", being the cynic you are. I found some great observations. Especially in the closing quote:"Jeffrey Epstein knew exactly what he was doing. He picked a group of people who are expert, if at nothing else, in putting fingers in their ears when people begin to scream."
If he loses the midterms, the charade will end, and he'll be nothing more than a bureaucrat who uses the autopen to rubber-stamp everything Congress sends him. Then, the new wannabe clowns (Vance & Newsom) can begin their fight for power.
Mario Cuéllar Gómez, the charade is all there ever is. The US is not a democracy and it doesn't matter who is president. It's getting flushed down the same golden toilet regardless.
'At this stage, the US is simply no longer a nation capable of carrying out major shipbuilding initiatives.'
I'm reminded of the 2010 film, "The Company Men". where one of the employees at a shrinking ship-building firm states that "the USA is no longer capable of heavy manufacturing."
'Trump knows that most of the voters in the US are even more shallow than he is and have the memory capacity of small tropical fish.'
That may be so but they're reminded of his failures every time they go to the supermarket. That's why the issue of "affordability" has been on the radar screen for the last week or two and Team Trump has tried to bamboozle and BS its way around this issue, to little avail. And perhaps the reason an increasingly unhinged Trump is lashing out every which way. Lack of purchasing power cannot be adroitly swept under the rug. it's become clear even to the Trump base that Trump is clueless and has no overarching economic plan to MAGA.
Dmitry Orlov, 
Of course he does not care. But his ratings -- ah. that's a different kettle of fish. Anyway, I should be applying for a Russian resident permit. Or failing that, Mexican.
Dmitry Orlov, le bal ouvrira Par une valse dansée par Donald et Lindsey. Ils l’ont bien mérité. 
Thanks, Dmitry. Zesty christmas offering.star
Les 48 brise-glace de Trump iront rejoindre les 100 avions que macron a « vendu » aux banderites de Kiev. On peut néanmoins affirmer qu’aucun ne rouillera …
Dmitry great post (as usual) I look forward to your posts more than any other site. Trump's puffery is liable to get more entertaining. "IM Doc" (internal medicine doctor who comments on a site I visit) said Trump got a whole body MRI but the results for his head weren't released which is a red flag. He thinks Trump has white matter disease which isn't a form of dementia. People with white matter disease have their personality traits increased and they lose their filters. In the past these are the people the family would put in the attic when company came over because they will say the worst things at the worst time. Trump's comment about Rob Reiner is probably an example. I hope you have a great Christmas on January 7th.
I figured this out in his 1st presidency, but voted for him this time in the hopes of avoiding nuclear war. I thought this was a good bet only because he loves his money and properties, not to mention his own rear, far too much to let them all be blown up. That bet might still be good. As for the rest, I never expected anything else of value, and thus spared myself any disappointment. It's good that he's such a clown, the faster we get over being the imperial end of history, the faster we can maybe become a country worth living in.
Poor Donny. He is still living in his past. Completely locked in his glory time of successful businessman, being actually a face of a Kushner family real estate empire, sometimes taking a blame for business plans, being to risky. Well, these times are long time gone, but he is now a face of much bigger empire, probably taking a blame for bankruptcy of adequately size proportions.beaming_face
Viktor, I am sure that he revels in his role as bankruptista extraordinaire. He will try to "make deals" out of the biggest bankruptcy ever happen on this planet. What a glorious role!
Dmitry Orlov, But,but,but.... He is a El Presidente of most powerful , the richest and the best nation of the world. Or just thinking, being relevant?beaming_face
Boom! That was your best article in a while.
Dimitry have you heard of a guy named Zhirinovsky ? A Russian politician.
Daniel Drazenovich, of course, who hasn't?
I was wondering what you thought of him
Daniel Drazenovich, he was a genius, one of a kind, an inspiration for millions.
It seems like he comes up with a new "project" every day!
James Turner, reminds me of a certain tribe that planted potatoes in the morning and dug them up in the evening... because they got hungry.
we are not witnessing reality, but a reality show
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