Seer's Game - big lie for players
There are hidden chance in this event.
Most players think chance to have bad luck card from 2 cards is 50%. But real chance is 66%. Nexters make own chance for each level and in fact you will spend more, then you think you should.
I fixed description of my last video and make a new table. Here it is:
Most players think chance to have bad luck card from 2 cards is 50%. But real chance is 66%. Nexters make own chance for each level and in fact you will spend more, then you think you should.
I fixed description of my last video and make a new table. Here it is:
With the actual probabilities, the average number of cursed cards per full run is 6.64.
Therefore, the average cost for a complete run is:
25 – entry fee
25 – first mistake
50 – second mistake
75 – third mistake
100 – fourth mistake
125 – fifth mistake
150 – sixth mistake
150 × 0.64 – seventh mistake in 64 % of cases
Total: 646 Seer coins on average for one full run.
That comes to 4 500 for seven runs for 2 totems.
Add another 1 000 compared to the average cost with their original probabilities.
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